74/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 60%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 5%.
Biasneutral
Alignmentmixed
Market regimeRanging
Aggregated trend strengthStrong
Riskcontained
Multi-timeframe alignment
15m●neutral
1h▼bearish
4h●neutral
1D●neutral
Only the 1h currently indicates a bearish bias. The remaining monitored timeframes stay neutral.
Current market assessment
EDGEUSDT: the only directional reading is bearish on 1h; remaining monitored timeframes stay neutral — evidence agreement 74/100.
Trend structure
Price holds below EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bearish structure.
Aggregate ADX-family strength is elevated on the monitored board; treat this as intensity of trend, not as a bullish or bearish direction by itself.
Momentum & oscillators
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the downside on 1h.
ADX on 4h (30.5) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
No decisive volume-spike confirmation is present in this observation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals are balanced without a clear stretch bias.
Contradictory evidence
Contradictory evidence: only the 1h shows a bearish bias (0 bullish / 1 bearish / 3 neutral) while the remaining frames including daily stay neutral — do not treat this as full multi-timeframe confirmation.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk looks contained relative to the current Ranging regime (MTF mixed); 1h RSI at 43.9.
A confirmed range break with ADX expansion would weaken the neutral stance. Volume confirmation can support that read when available, but it is not required on every market.
Scenario analysis
Primary scenario (Ranging): range conditions dominate — prefer to wait for ADX expansion before treating a break as trend; use volume only as optional confirmation when the feed supports it.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
Why does a single timeframe signal not set the overall bias?
Only the 1h shows a bearish bias (0 bullish / 1 bearish / 3 neutral); the remaining monitored timeframes stay neutral, so there is no multi-timeframe directional consensus.
What would invalidate the current neutral assessment?
A confirmed range break with ADX expansion would weaken the neutral stance. Volume confirmation can support that read when available, but it is not required on every market.
Definitions: RSI and ADX.