82/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 67%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 0%.
Biasneutral
Alignmentmixed
Market regimeRanging
Trend strengthneutral
Riskcontained
Multi-timeframe alignment
15m●neutral
1h●neutral
4h●neutral
1D●neutral
Timeframe agreement is incomplete (0 bullish / 0 bearish / 4 neutral).
Current market assessment
XAUTUSDT remains neutral: competing signals keep the assessment balanced.
Trend structure
Price holds below EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bearish structure.
Trend-strength readings are muted; treat breakouts as lower-conviction until ADX expands.
Momentum & oscillators
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the downside on daily.
ADX on daily (29.8) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
No decisive volume-spike confirmation is present in this observation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals are balanced without a clear stretch bias.
Contradictory evidence
Conflicting evidence: trend structure tilts bearish while momentum leans bullish — size down until they reconcile.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk looks contained relative to the current regime.
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Scenario analysis
Base scenario: range conditions dominate — prefer to prefer to wait for ADX expansion and volume before treating a break as trend.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
What would invalidate the current neutral assessment?
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Definitions: RSI and ADX.