74/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 60%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 5%.
Biasneutral
Alignmentpartial
Market regimeTrending
Aggregated trend strengthVery strong
Riskcontained
Multi-timeframe alignment
15m▼bearish
1h▼bearish
4h●neutral
1D●neutral
Intraday frames lean directional while the daily frame stays neutral — higher-timeframe confirmation is incomplete.
Current market assessment
ZESTUSDT: bearish readings on 15m and 1h while the daily timeframe stays neutral — broader confirmation incomplete; evidence agreement 74/100.
Daily direction is contradictory: signal stays neutral while RSI sits mid-range (50.4) with ADX at 56.4 — do not treat the daily as a clean trend confirmation.
Trend structure
Price holds below EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bearish structure.
Aggregate ADX-family strength is elevated on the monitored board; treat this as intensity of trend, not as a bullish or bearish direction by itself.
Momentum & oscillators
Short-term trend intensity is elevated: 15m ADX at 39.3 shows strong intensity on that frame alone — it does not by itself confirm higher-timeframe direction.
Intermediate trend strength is firm: 1h ADX at 28.2 supports a developed directional regime on that frame.
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the downside on 1h.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals are balanced without a clear stretch bias.
Contradictory evidence
Contradictory evidence: intraday frames lean bearish (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral) while the daily signal stays neutral — do not treat this as full multi-timeframe confirmation.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk looks contained relative to the current Trending regime (MTF partial); 1h RSI at 36.3.
Newly aligned multi-timeframe directional evidence — a sustained transition of the monitored board into a clear long or short consensus — would end the neutral aggregate assessment. A clear loss of the intermediate structure that currently keeps readings divided would also change this classification. Do not wait only for a generic range break when the regime is already trending.
Scenario analysis
Base scenario (Trending, MTF partial): bearish signals dominate the 15-minute, 1-hour and/or 4-hour frames, but weak daily / higher-timeframe ADX intensity and neutral daily confirmation indicate that directional pressure has not yet developed into a strong, broadly confirmed trend.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
Why can intraday frames lean directional while the daily signal stays neutral?
15m and 1h lean bearish (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral) while the daily frame stays neutral — broader confirmation remains incomplete until the daily joins.
What would invalidate the current neutral assessment?
Newly aligned multi-timeframe directional evidence — a sustained transition of the monitored board into a clear long or short consensus — would end the neutral aggregate assessment. A clear loss of the intermediate structure that currently keeps readings divided would also change this classification. Do not wait only for a generic range break when the regime is already trending.
Why can two markets share the same timeframe tally but different research?
Board tallies count directional signals only. RSI stretch, ADX strength, EMA200 context and daily contradictions are asset-specific and change the interpretation even when both print the same board tally.
Definitions: RSI and ADX.