92/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 67%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +12%, conflict penalty 0%.
Biasbearish
Alignmentaligned
Market regimeRanging
Trend strengthneutral
Riskelevated downside extension
Multi-timeframe alignment
15m▼bearish
1h▼bearish
4h▼bearish
1D▼bearish
All monitored timeframes agree on the same directional reading.
Current market assessment
AMATUSDT shows a bearish bias across monitored timeframes; evidence agreement 92/100.
Trend structure
Price holds below EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bearish structure.
Trend-strength readings are muted; treat breakouts as lower-conviction until ADX expands.
Momentum & oscillators
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the downside on 1h.
ADX on 4h (36.8) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
No decisive volume-spike confirmation is present in this observation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals lean bearish in this observation.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk is elevated to the downside — manage size if chasing stretched RSI.
Sustained reclaim of the 4-hour and daily EMA50 would weaken the bearish case.
Scenario analysis
Base scenario: aligned timeframes favor continuation of the bearish bias while HTF structure holds.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
Does an overbought or oversold RSI automatically reverse the bias?
No. In a strong trend, extreme RSI often marks extension risk rather than an automatic reversal. Direction still comes from structure, not RSI alone.
What would invalidate the current bearish assessment?
Sustained reclaim of the 4-hour and daily EMA50 would weaken the bearish case.
Definitions: RSI and ADX.