78/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 67%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 5%.
Biasneutral
Alignmentpartial
Market regimeRanging
Trend strengthneutral
Riskcontained
Multi-timeframe alignment
15m●neutral
1h●neutral
4h▼bearish
1D▼bearish
Timeframe agreement is incomplete (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral).
Current market assessment
KUAISHOUUSDT remains neutral: competing signals keep the assessment balanced.
Trend structure
Price holds below EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bearish structure.
Trend-strength readings are muted; treat breakouts as lower-conviction until ADX expands.
Momentum & oscillators
Primary 4H ADX at 19.9 is only moderate — the intermediate directional lean exists without fully developed trend strength.
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the downside on 1h.
ADX on daily (25.8) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
No decisive volume-spike confirmation is present in this observation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals are balanced without a clear stretch bias.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk looks contained relative to the current regime.
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Scenario analysis
Base scenario: range conditions dominate — prefer to wait for ADX expansion and volume before treating a break as trend.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
What would invalidate the current neutral assessment?
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Why can two markets share the same timeframe tally but different research?
Board tallies count directional signals only. RSI stretch, ADX strength, EMA200 context and daily contradictions are asset-specific and change the interpretation even when both print the same board tally.
Definitions: RSI and ADX.