95/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 100%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +12%, conflict penalty 0%.
Biasbullish
Alignmentaligned
Market regimeTrending
Trend strengthbullish
Riskelevated upside extension
Multi-timeframe alignment
15m▲bullish
1h▲bullish
4h▲bullish
1D▲bullish
All monitored timeframes agree on the same directional reading.
Current market assessment
NOWUSDT shows a bullish bias across monitored timeframes; evidence agreement 95/100.
Trend structure
Price holds above EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bullish structure.
On the primary frame, price holds above both EMA50 and EMA200 — intermediate and longer trend filters agree constructively.
Trend-strength readings lean bullish; ADX-family evidence supports a developed move.
Momentum & oscillators
Short-term stretch is elevated (15m RSI 70.7, 1h RSI 74.9) — treat chase risk as asset-specific extension, not a generic reversal signal.
Intermediate trend strength is firm: 1h ADX at 41.5 supports a developed directional regime on that frame.
ADX on daily (46.5) points to a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
Volume-spike signals lean bullish, offering modest confirmation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals lean bullish in this observation.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk is elevated to the upside — manage size if chasing stretched RSI.
Sustained closes back below the 4-hour and daily EMA50 would weaken the bullish case.
Scenario analysis
Primary scenario: aligned timeframes favor continuation of the bullish bias while HTF structure holds.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
Does an overbought or oversold RSI automatically reverse the bias?
No. In a strong trend, extreme RSI often marks extension risk rather than an automatic reversal. Direction still comes from structure, not RSI alone.
What would invalidate the current bullish assessment?
Sustained closes back below the 4-hour and daily EMA50 would weaken the bullish case.
Why can two markets share the same timeframe tally but different research?
Board tallies count directional signals only. RSI stretch, ADX strength, EMA200 context and daily contradictions are asset-specific and change the interpretation even when both print the same board tally.
Definitions: RSI and ADX.