78/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 67%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 5%.
Biasbearish
Alignmentpartial
Market regimeTrending
Trend strengthbearish
Riskcontained
Multi-timeframe alignment
15m▼bearish
1h▼bearish
4h●neutral
1D▼bearish
Timeframe agreement is incomplete (0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral).
Current market assessment
SNDKUSDT shows a bearish bias over monitored timeframes; evidence agreement 78/100.
Trend structure
Price holds below EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bearish structure.
Trend-strength readings lean bearish; ADX-family evidence supports a developed move.
Momentum & oscillators
Intermediate trend strength is firm: 1h ADX at 26.1 supports a developed directional regime on that frame.
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the downside on 1h.
ADX on daily (31.4) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
No decisive volume-spike confirmation is present in this observation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals are balanced without a clear stretch bias.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk looks contained relative to the current regime.
Sustained reclaim of the 4-hour and daily EMA50 would weaken the bearish case.
Scenario analysis
Base scenario: mixed regime — prefer confirmation over anticipation until alignment improves.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
What would invalidate the current bearish assessment?
Sustained reclaim of the 4-hour and daily EMA50 would weaken the bearish case.
Why can two markets share the same timeframe tally but different research?
Board tallies count directional signals only. RSI stretch, ADX strength, EMA200 context and daily contradictions are asset-specific and change the interpretation even when both print the same board tally.
Definitions: RSI and ADX.