ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF Perpetual (TBTUSDT) is an ETF-linked USDT perpetual under the Stocks pillar on TradeAnalyzer.Pro — research only, not fund units.
ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF Perpetual (TBTUSDT) Technical Analysis
This page provides multi-timeframe technical research for TBTUSDT using RSI, ADX, EMA alignment, momentum and trend confirmation across 15m, 1h, 4h and 1D. Indicator values are computed from TradeAnalyzer.Pro market-data feeds for supported venues. Live indicator cards refresh in the browser; the written snapshot regenerates on a scheduled cycle (typically every 4 hours). Research context only — not financial advice and not a trade instruction.
TBTUSDT Live Indicators
| TF | Price | RSI | TSI | ADX | ADX Cross | Stoch | EMA 9 | EMA 50 | Momentum | Vol Spike | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15m | 39.8900 | 49.7 | 4.1 | 16.6 | LONG | LONG | SHORT | SHORT | LONG | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL |
| 1h | 39.8900 | 47.6 | -4.7 | 23.1 | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL |
| 4h | 39.8400 | 41.5 | -12.8 | 24.7 | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | NEUTRAL | SHORT |
| 1D | 39.8400 | 37.6 | -8.0 | 25.3 | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT | SHORT |
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Current Technical Assessment
TBTUSDT · ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF Perpetual
neutralPeriodically refreshed from validated indicators — not a streaming tick feed.
78/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 67%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 5%.
Biasneutral
Alignmentpartial
Market regimeRanging
Trend strengthneutral
Riskcontained
Multi-timeframe alignment
15mneutral
1hneutral
4hbearish
1Dbearish
Timeframe agreement is incomplete (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral).
Current market assessment
TBTUSDT remains neutral: competing signals keep the assessment balanced.
Trend structure
Price holds below EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack backs a bearish structure.
Trend-strength readings are muted; treat breakouts as lower-conviction until ADX expands.
Momentum & oscillators
Primary 4H ADX at 24.7 is only moderate — the intermediate directional lean exists without fully developed trend strength.
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the downside on 4h.
ADX on daily (25.3) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
No decisive volume-spike confirmation is present in this observation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals are balanced without a clear stretch bias.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk looks contained relative to the current regime.
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Scenario analysis
Base scenario: range conditions dominate — wait for ADX expansion and volume before treating a break as trend.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
What would invalidate the current neutral assessment?
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Why can two markets share the same timeframe tally but different research?
Board tallies count directional signals only. RSI stretch, ADX strength, EMA200 context and daily contradictions are asset-specific and change the interpretation even when both print the same board tally.
Stored analysis · refreshed every 4 hours
Historical snapshot — for the latest signal, see Live Indicators above.
TBTUSDT Multi-Timeframe Analysis Snapshot
Frozen four-hour research record. Values below describe the market at the saved observation time.
This TBTUSDT analysis uses a multi-timeframe approach combining 15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily indicators to confirm trend direction and filter false signals. Each timeframe provides unique insights: shorter intervals capture momentum shifts, while longer timeframes establish the prevailing trend context.
Last updated: 21 Oct 2026, 20:33 (UTC). This multi-timeframe analysis snapshot, including the FAQ answers below, is regenerated every 4 hours using the latest indicator data.
At the time of this snapshot, TBTUSDT showed a NEUTRAL consensus across the four timeframes (0 long, 2 short, 2 neutral).
Historical snapshot
Data recorded:
Historical four-hour snapshot
Frozen board at 21 Oct 2026, 20:33 UTC: neutral bias, evidence agreement 78/100. Details below are historical — not the live assessment above.
Evidence-agreement 78/100 reflects family agreement 67% and coverage 100% (MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 5%) — not a win probability.
Multi-timeframe alignment
Shorter and intermediate timeframes lean neutral, but alignment is incomplete (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral) — broader confirmation is still missing.
Trend structure
Price holds below EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bearish structure.
Trend-strength readings are muted; treat breakouts as lower-conviction until ADX expands.
Momentum & oscillators
Primary 4H ADX at 24.7 is only moderate — the intermediate directional lean exists without fully developed trend strength.
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the downside on 4h.
ADX on daily (25.3) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
No decisive volume-spike confirmation is present in this observation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals are balanced without a clear stretch bias.
Each timeframe below is an independent historical research section from the same frozen observation set. Reference price is listed once in snapshot metadata — not repeated in every paragraph.
Snapshot 15-minute — Short-Term Market Dynamics
neutral RangingKey readings: RSI 49.7 · ADX 16.6 · TSI 4.1 · below EMA50 · below EMA200 · MACD bearish · VWAP bullish · Ichimoku neutral · BB neutral · Vol neutral · ATR 0.37%
As of
Price is below EMA50 with RSI at 49.7 (neutral). ADX at 16.6 reads range / muted. MACD leans bearish. Short EMA cross remains constructive for tactical momentum. Printed 15m signal: neutral.
Snapshot 1-hour — Momentum & Trend Development
neutral TransitionalKey readings: RSI 47.6 · ADX 23.1 · TSI -4.7 · below EMA50 · EMA stack bearish · below EMA200 · MACD bullish · VWAP neutral · Ichimoku neutral · BB neutral · Vol neutral · ATR 0.59%
As of
Price is below EMA50 with RSI at 47.6 (neutral). ADX at 23.1 reads moderate. MACD leans bullish. Printed 1h signal: neutral.
Snapshot 4-hour — Primary Technical Research
bearish TransitionalKey readings: RSI 41.5 · ADX 24.7 · TSI -12.8 · below EMA50 · EMA stack bearish · below EMA200 · MACD bearish · VWAP neutral · Ichimoku bearish · BB neutral · Vol neutral · ATR 0.84%
As of
Price sits below both EMA50 and EMA200 — intermediate and longer trend filters agree on the soft side. ADX (24.7) is only moderate — directional lean exists, but trend strength is not fully developed. MACD, Ichimoku still align with the printed bearish 4H signal.
Printed 4h bias is bearish — a directional lean, not a guarantee of favorable entry timing.
ATR is about 0.84% of price — size risk accordingly.
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Snapshot daily — Broader Market Structure
bearish TrendingKey readings: RSI 37.6 · ADX 25.3 · TSI -8.0 · below EMA50 · MACD bearish · VWAP neutral · Ichimoku bearish · BB neutral · Vol bearish · ATR 2.11%
As of
Price is below EMA50 with RSI at 37.6 (bearish). ADX at 25.3 reads strong trend. MACD leans bearish. Daily directional reading is bearish.
EMA structure is mixed relative to the printed signal — conviction stays limited.
TBTUSDT FAQ
The first three answers refer to this historical 4-hour snapshot (). For current market values and signals, see Live Indicators above.
What was the TBTUSDT trading signal in this 4-hour snapshot?
At the time of this snapshot, the TBTUSDT multi-timeframe signal was NEUTRAL. This signal was derived from RSI, ADX, EMA alignment, and momentum indicators across 15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily timeframes on TradeAnalyzer.Pro.
Did this TBTUSDT snapshot indicate bullish or bearish conditions?
At the time of this snapshot, TBTUSDT showed a NEUTRAL multi-timeframe consensus.
What was the 1-hour RSI in this snapshot?
The 1-hour RSI was 47.6 when this snapshot was generated.
General methodology
Which indicators power TBTUSDT analysis on TradeAnalyzer.Pro?
TBTUSDT analysis on TradeAnalyzer.Pro stacks momentum, trend strength, and EMA structure on 15m–1D intervals, then summarizes a consensus research label.
What is the timeframe stack for TBTUSDT on TradeAnalyzer.Pro?
The timeframe stack for TBTUSDT is fixed to 15m / 1h / 4h / 1D so consensus is comparable across symbols.