78/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 83%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 5%.
Score reduced from 86/100 to 78/100 by the 78 ceiling because the daily frame is still neutral while intraday frames lean directional — identical board tallies can share this ceiling even when RSI/ADX profiles differ by asset.
Biasbullish
Alignmentpartial
Market regimeTrending
Trend strengthbearish
Riskcontained
Multi-timeframe alignment
15m▲bullish
1h▲bullish
4h▲bullish
1D●neutral
Intraday frames lean directional while the daily frame stays neutral — higher-timeframe confirmation is incomplete.
Current market assessment
RKLBUSDT presents a bullish bias across monitored timeframes; evidence agreement 78/100.
Score reduced from 86/100 to 78/100 by the 78 ceiling because the daily frame is still neutral while intraday frames lean directional — identical board tallies can share this ceiling even when RSI/ADX profiles differ by asset.
Trend structure
Price holds above EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bullish structure.
Trend-strength readings lean bearish; ADX-family evidence supports a developed move.
Momentum & oscillators
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the upside on 1h.
ADX on daily (35.9) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
Volume-spike signals lean bullish, offering modest confirmation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals lean bullish in this observation.
Contradictory evidence
Contradictory evidence: intraday frames lean bullish (3 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral) while the daily signal stays neutral — do not treat this as full multi-timeframe confirmation.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk looks contained relative to the current regime.
Sustained closes back below the 4-hour and daily EMA50 would weaken the bullish case.
Scenario analysis
Base scenario: mixed regime — prefer confirmation over anticipation until alignment improves.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
What would invalidate the current bullish assessment?
Sustained closes back below the 4-hour and daily EMA50 would weaken the bullish case.
Definitions: RSI and ADX.