Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF Perpetual (TMFUSDT) is an ETF-linked USDT perpetual under the Stocks pillar on TradeAnalyzer.Pro — research only, not fund units.
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF Perpetual (TMFUSDT) Technical Analysis
This page provides multi-timeframe technical research for TMFUSDT using RSI, ADX, EMA alignment, momentum and trend confirmation across 15m, 1h, 4h and 1D. Indicator values are computed from TradeAnalyzer.Pro market-data feeds for supported venues. Live indicator cards refresh in the browser; the written snapshot regenerates on a scheduled cycle (typically every 4 hours). Research context only — not financial advice and not a trade instruction.
TMFUSDT Live Indicators
| TF | Price | RSI | TSI | ADX | ADX Cross | Stoch | EMA 9 | EMA 50 | Momentum | Vol Spike | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15m | 28.1600 | 53.8 | -6.0 | 14.9 | LONG | LONG | LONG | LONG | SHORT | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL |
| 1h | 28.1800 | 55.2 | 9.5 | 19.6 | SHORT | LONG | LONG | LONG | LONG | NEUTRAL | LONG |
| 4h | 28.0900 | 56.3 | 9.9 | 19.3 | LONG | SHORT | LONG | LONG | LONG | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL |
| 1D | 28.1800 | 58.9 | 3.0 | 26.3 | LONG | LONG | LONG | LONG | LONG | NEUTRAL | LONG |
Open TMFUSDT in the chart
Current Technical Assessment
TMFUSDT · Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF Perpetual
neutralPeriodically refreshed from validated indicators — not a streaming tick feed.
78/100
Evidence-agreement score (0–100), not a probability of profitable trading.
How this score is built
Score = (0.55×family agreement + 0.30×coverage + 0.15) × (1 + MTF adjustment) × (1 − conflict penalty). Caps: 78 when daily is neutral vs directional intraday; 88 when MTF is not fully aligned; hard range 5–95. Not a win probability.
Family agreement 67%, coverage 100%, MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 5%.
Biasneutral
Alignmentpartial
Market regimeRanging
Trend strengthneutral
Riskcontained
Multi-timeframe alignment
15mneutral
1hbullish
4hneutral
1Dbullish
Timeframe agreement is incomplete (2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral).
Current market assessment
TMFUSDT remains neutral: competing signals keep the assessment balanced.
Trend structure
Price holds above EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bullish structure.
On the primary frame, price holds above both EMA50 and EMA200 — intermediate and longer trend filters agree constructively.
Trend-strength readings are muted; treat breakouts as lower-conviction until ADX expands.
Momentum & oscillators
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the upside on 1h.
ADX on daily (26.3) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
No clear volume-spike confirmation is present in this observation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals are balanced without a clear stretch bias.
Risk & invalidation
Extension risk looks contained relative to the current regime.
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Scenario analysis
Primary scenario: range conditions dominate — prefer to wait for ADX expansion and volume before treating a break as trend.
Scenarios describe evidence-based paths — not buy/sell recommendations or price targets.
Current assessment FAQ
What would invalidate the current neutral assessment?
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Why can two markets share the same timeframe tally but different research?
Board tallies count directional signals only. RSI stretch, ADX strength, EMA200 context and daily contradictions are asset-specific and change the interpretation even when both print the same board tally.
Stored analysis · refreshed every 4 hours
Historical snapshot — for the latest signal, see Live Indicators above.
TMFUSDT Multi-Timeframe Analysis Snapshot
Frozen four-hour research record. Values below describe the market at the saved observation time.
This TMFUSDT analysis uses a multi-timeframe approach combining 15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily indicators to confirm trend direction and filter false signals. Each timeframe provides unique insights: shorter intervals capture momentum shifts, while longer timeframes establish the prevailing trend context.
Last updated: 21 Oct 2026, 20:33 (UTC). This multi-timeframe analysis snapshot, including the FAQ answers below, is regenerated every 4 hours using the latest indicator data.
At the time of this snapshot, TMFUSDT showed a NEUTRAL consensus across the four timeframes (2 long, 0 short, 2 neutral).
Historical snapshot
Data recorded:
Historical four-hour snapshot
Frozen board at 21 Oct 2026, 20:33 UTC: neutral bias, evidence agreement 78/100. Details below are historical — not the live assessment above.
Evidence-agreement 78/100 reflects family agreement 67% and coverage 100% (MTF adj +0%, conflict penalty 5%) — not a win probability.
Multi-timeframe alignment
Shorter and intermediate timeframes lean neutral, but alignment is incomplete (2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral) — broader confirmation is still missing.
Trend structure
Price holds above EMA50 on key frames; the short EMA stack supports a bullish structure.
On the primary frame, price holds above both EMA50 and EMA200 — intermediate and longer trend filters agree constructively.
Trend-strength readings are muted; treat breakouts as lower-conviction until ADX expands.
Momentum & oscillators
Momentum oscillators lean supportive of the upside on 1h.
ADX on daily (26.3) indicates a developed trend — direction still comes from price/EMA, not ADX alone.
Volume confirmation
No clear volume-spike confirmation is present in this observation.
Volatility context
Volatility-location signals are balanced without a clear stretch bias.
Each timeframe below is an independent historical research section from the same frozen observation set. Reference price is listed once in snapshot metadata — not repeated in every paragraph.
Snapshot 15-minute — Short-Term Market Dynamics
neutral RangingKey readings: RSI 53.8 · ADX 14.9 · TSI -6.0 · above EMA50 · above EMA200 · MACD bearish · VWAP bullish · Ichimoku neutral · BB neutral · Vol neutral · ATR 0.28%
As of
Price is above EMA50 with RSI at 53.8 (neutral). ADX at 14.9 reads range / muted. MACD leans bearish. Short EMA cross remains soft for tactical momentum. Printed 15m signal: neutral.
Snapshot 1-hour — Momentum & Trend Development
bullish RangingKey readings: RSI 55.2 · ADX 19.6 · TSI 9.5 · above EMA50 · EMA stack bullish · above EMA200 · MACD bearish · VWAP bullish · Ichimoku bullish · BB neutral · Vol neutral · ATR 0.70%
As of
Price is above EMA50 with RSI at 55.2 (bullish). ADX at 19.6 reads range / muted. MACD leans bearish. Printed 1h signal: bullish.
Snapshot 4-hour — Primary Technical Research
neutral RangingKey readings: RSI 56.3 · ADX 19.3 · TSI 9.9 · above EMA50 · EMA stack bullish · above EMA200 · MACD bullish · VWAP neutral · Ichimoku bullish · BB neutral · Vol neutral · ATR 1.17%
As of
Price holds above both EMA50 and EMA200 — intermediate and longer trend filters agree on the constructive side. ADX (19.3) is muted — intermediate breakouts face higher whipsaw risk. Primary momentum: RSI at 56.3 (bullish) with TSI at 9.9 (bullish) — read them together, not as isolated flips.
Printed 4h bias is neutral — a directional lean, not a guarantee of favorable entry timing.
MACD, Ichimoku disagree with the printed neutral signal — treat continuation as conditional on those overlays catching up.
ATR is about 1.17% of price — size risk accordingly.
A confirmed range break with rising ADX and volume would end the neutral stance.
Snapshot daily — Broader Market Structure
bullish TrendingKey readings: RSI 58.9 · ADX 26.3 · TSI 3.0 · above EMA50 · MACD bullish · VWAP neutral · Ichimoku bullish · BB neutral · Vol neutral · ATR 2.90%
As of
Price is above EMA50 with RSI at 58.9 (bullish). ADX at 26.3 reads strong trend. MACD leans bullish. Daily directional reading is bullish.
EMA structure is mixed relative to the printed signal — conviction stays limited.
TMFUSDT FAQ
The first three answers refer to this historical 4-hour snapshot (). For current market values and signals, see Live Indicators above.
What was the TMFUSDT trading signal in this 4-hour snapshot?
At the time of this snapshot, the TMFUSDT multi-timeframe signal was NEUTRAL. This signal was derived from RSI, ADX, EMA alignment, and momentum indicators across 15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily timeframes on TradeAnalyzer.Pro.
Did this TMFUSDT snapshot indicate bullish or bearish conditions?
At the time of this snapshot, TMFUSDT showed a NEUTRAL multi-timeframe consensus.
What was the 1-hour RSI in this snapshot?
The 1-hour RSI was 55.2 when this snapshot was generated.
General methodology
How is TMFUSDT technical analysis calculated on TradeAnalyzer.Pro?
TradeAnalyzer.Pro calculates TMFUSDT signals using a multi-indicator approach. RSI measures momentum, ADX quantifies trend strength, EMA 9/50 crossovers indicate direction, and volume confirmation is used where available. Each input is evaluated on 15m, 1h, 4h, and 1D before consensus.
What timeframes does TMFUSDT analysis cover?
TradeAnalyzer.Pro analyzes TMFUSDT across four timeframes: 15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily. Multi-timeframe review helps reduce single-interval noise.